Poll: Runoff likely in Mississippi Senate special election

September 15, 2020 0 By HearthstoneYarns

The special election for Mississippi’s senate is looking increasingly likely to head to a runoff, according to a new poll.

None of the four candidates in the “jungle primary” have enough support to reach to the 50 percent threshold and avoid a runoff, an NBC News/Marist poll released Tuesday finds.

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Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R), who was appointed when Republican Thad CochranWilliam (Thad) Thad CochranEspy wins Mississippi Senate Democratic primary Bottom Line Mike Espy announces Mississippi Senate bid MORE’s retirement in March, leads the poll with 38 percent support, well short of the 50 percent mark. President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE endorsed Hyde-Smith in August.

Democrat Mike Espy follows with 29 percent support, while conservative GOP candidate Chris McDaniel got 15 percent and Democrat Tobey Bartee received 2 percent.

The poll found that in a runoff between the top two finishers, Hyde-Smith got 50 percent support compared to Espy’s 36 percent.

In a runoff between Espy and McDaniel, Espy leads with 43 percent support to McDaniel’s 36 percent.

Should a runoff be necessary, it would take place three weeks after Election Day — creating the possibility that control of the Senate could be decided by the results of the runoff. 

Trump won Mississippi in 2016 by 18 points over Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE and currently holds a 60 percent approval rating in the state, according to the survey.

The poll was conducted Oct. 13-18 and surveyed 511 likely voters with a margin of error of 6.1 percentage points.

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